by ESB brings you free League of Legends betting picks for the final week of LoL EMEA Championship (LEC) 2024 Summer on Saturday, June 29. Here are our selections for Fnatic vs Team Heretics, Rogue vs GIANTX, G2 Esports vs Team Vitality, and SK Gaming vs Karmine Corp, with esports odds courtesy of GG Bet.
FNATIC vs TEAM HERETICS LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| Best Odds: | Fnatic $1.29 at GG Bet | Heretics $3.49 at GG Bet |
| When: | June 29, 2024 | 17:00 CEST |
| Watch Live: | Lolesports, Twitch |
Fnatic looked unstoppable until the final match of LEC 2024 Summer Week 3 when they lost to G2 Esports. That defeat doesn’t prove anything new, however, nor is it in any way an indication that Fnatic have lost their momentum.
Team Heretics are 2-5, with their wins coming against GIANTX and Karmine Corp. But while losing five games is concerning enough, their performance against Rogue last week might be a good enough reason to see Heretics as one of the worst teams in the league.
Team Heretics are in a very tough spot and they’ve not given us many reasons to feel excited about them or their chances to defeat Fnatic. Expect a very one-sided series.
Fnatic -9.5 kills
ROGUE vs GIANTX LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| Best Odds: | Rogue $1.81 at GG Bet | GX $1.95 at GG Bet |
| When: | June 29, 2024 | 17:45 CEST |
| Watch Live: | Lolesports, Twitch |
As the offered LoL betting odds suggest, this could be a close series. And since it is a match between two of the weakest LEC squads, that’s a fair assessment.
Rogue defeated Team Heretics on Sunday, whereas GIANTX picked up their second consecutive win against the shaky Vitality on Saturday. That success mostly came down to GIANTX drafting much better, but that doesn’t discredit their achievements.
Esports bookmakers have the wrong team priced as favourites. Whereas Rogue have shown little this split, GIANTX draft well and have performed to decent level even when faced with more formidable opponents.
GIANTX to win
G2 ESPORTS vs TEAM VITALITY LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| Best Odds: | G2 $1.18 at GG Bet | Vitality $4.54 at GG Bet |
| When: | June 29, 2024 | 18:30 CEST |
| Watch Live: | Lolesports, Twitch |
G2 Esports have looked a little shaky this split but still managed to take down Fnatic last Sunday, proving again that they’re an elite team. That said, giving them an 84.7% implied probability of beating Vitality in a best-of-one is pushing it a bit.
It’s hard to find good arguments to trust Team Vitality outside of the belief that this roster has a very high ceiling. But the quality of the players alone is a good enough reason to question their $4.54 odds for this game.
Vitality have choked a couple too many times and had questionable drafts last week, which shows in their 2-5 record. But in terms of performance metrics, they are still in a good spot and have not fallen from grace as much as the market might suggest.
Team Vitality +9.5 kills
SK GAMING vs KARMINE CORP LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS |
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| Best Odds: | SK $1.40 at GG Bet | KC $2.88 at GG Bet |
| When: | June 29, 2024 | 19:15 CEST |
| Watch Live: | Lolesports, Twitch |
SK Gaming enter LEC 2024 Summer Week 4 after beating MAD Lions KOI and Team Heretics in their last two outings. Still, they’re not good enough to be priced as $1.40 favourites with LoL betting sites — even though they’ve beaten Team BDS and G2 Esports, who both made a slew of errors in those matches.
Karmine Corp are 3-4, although they’ve only beaten MAD Lions KOI, Rogue, and Vitality, who helped KC with a massive throw. This is far below the expectations for a roster of this quality.
Even though it feels wrong to trust Karmine Corp to do what they’re supposed to, SK Gaming are overrated at this price. The value is with the underdogs.
