The MongolZ made a massive statement last week when they won YaLLa Compass 2024. A week prior, they also claimed the MESA Nomadic Masters Spring 2024 title, and in May, they reached the round of 12 at ESL Pro League Season 19.

Party Astronauts have not accomplished anything nearly as impressive, nor have they won a single tournament this season — despite competing only in lesser regional events. Their most notable achievement was placing second at the recent Thunderpick World Championship 2024: North American Series #2.

The MongolZ have severely overperformed over the last two months. Even though this won’t last for long, they’re in great form and should not struggle against North America’s fifth-ranked team.

Team Falcons have found some success this year, but they lack consistency. They reached the semifinals at Intel Extreme Masters Katowice 2024 in February and added another top-four finish at BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024 in May. In the remaining five tournaments, the Falcons have not placed higher than the top nine.

A major factor could be their lack of games, as the Falcons have played just 12 fixtures since mid-April. Over that stretch, however, they have put up some decent showings, with close games against G2 Esports, BetBoom Team, and Virtus.pro.

Aurora Gaming have been far more active, with 17 games this month. However, they have just three wins from their last nine outings, even though they’ve have been playing mostly second-tier teams.

Team Falcons are not in good form, but they’re a much more stacked team than Aurora Gaming. So even though this is a best-of-one game, it’s tough to make a strong case against the Falcons at the offered betting odds.

After a miraculous run at ESL Pro League Season 19, where they reached the semifinals, Complexity Gaming have not been able to show the same level of performance. They exited Intel Extreme Masters Dallas 2024 in 13th-16th place and recently ended YaLLa Compass 2024 in the group stage.

The sudden drop in form might shock some, but it’s more that Complexity overperformed in Malta and are now showing their true colours — as a team that doesn’t belong among the elite few.

Alliance are the lowest-rated team in ESL Challenger J?nk?ping 2024, sitting at no.97 on the global Counter-Strike standings. They’ve not won a single tournament this season and are 2-5 from their last seven, despite only playing weaker teams.

Complexity have proved they don’t belong in the upper echelons of the Counter-Strike scene. But they’re still significantly more potent than Alliance, which should show on Friday.

ENCE are priced as substantial underdogs for their ESL Challenger J?nk?ping 2024 opener against MiBR, which doesn’t make much sense — not because ENCE are that strong, but because MiBR are not that much better.

ENCE recently crashed out of RES European Masters Fall 2023 in 9th-12th, and they weren’t much more successful at YaLLa Compass 2024, with just one win from five games played. But MiBR have not won a tournament since ESL Challenger at DreamHack Melbourne 2024 in April and were just as uninspiring as ENCE in their outings, losing to 9z Team and Bounty Hunters Esports.

It’s hard to find a good reason to believe in ENCE, but it’s even harder to justify backing MiBR at the offered betting odds. At $2.40 with the best esports betting sites, there is value in backing ENCE to spring an upset.

Esports betting tips

The BLAST Premier Fall Showdown will take place from October 4-8, with the Americas and European regional events running concurrently.

Both tournaments will feature eight teams, and only the winners of each Showdown will qualify for the BLAST Premier Fall Final later this year.

• BLAST Premier Fall Showdown (Americas & Europe)

  The Americas Showdown will feature Team Liquid, Evil Geniuses, Complexity Gaming, FURIA Esports, Imperial Esports, Forsaken, Party Astronauts and Legacy.

  Most esports betting sites have Team Liquid and FURIA Esports marked as equal favourites at $3.00, closely followed by Complexity at $4.50.

  Meanwhile, the European Showdown will feature BIG, G2 Esports, OG, ENCE, 9INE, Movistar Riders, Alliance and Cloud9.

  GG Bet has ENCE marked as the clear favourite at $2.75, closely followed by G2 Esports at $3.00 and Cloud9 at $5.00.

  The winners of each regional tournament will take home a US$20,000 grand prize and book their place in the Fall Final in Copenhagen in November.

  Check out our extensive BLAST Premier Fall Showdown betting guide to get the latest odds and tournament information.

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