Top Esports and G2 Esports will face off on Tuesday, May 14, in the second round of the losers’ bracket at Mid-Season Invitational 2024. Both squads dropped down to the lower bracket following close five-map defeats against Korean LoL esports teams, yet while their results look similar, Top Esports are priced as firm favourites for this match.

Top enter this fixture off a painful 2-3 defeat against Gen.G. While the result was fair, it also proved that the tournament’s top teams are much closer than the League of Legends betting markets are suggesting.

The question here is whether G2 Esports belong in that category. They performed well against T1 last Friday, and while they came up short on the day, they were close enough to indicate their head-to-head price of $5.62 was completely off.

T1 didn’t look good in their next series against Bilibili Gaming on Sunday, which also affects how people will see G2 Esports — as a team that nearly defeated a struggling side. But the eye test proves G2 are no slouches and more than capable of holding their own against elite opposition.

Top Esports have side choice for this match — a notable advantage, considering the blue side has a 54.5% win rate this tournament. But we saw G2 Esports defeat T1 on the red side, and across all series between top contenders, the side selection hasn’t seemed to affect performances too much.

Even though Top Esports are a very stacked team, they’re also somewhat inconsistent. So even though they performed well against Gen.G, having them priced as $1.40 favourites seems a bit optimistic. The outsiders are good enough to keep this series close, if not win it.

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